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Fasanara Capital
Fasanara Capital

DISCLAIMER​

Insights

Investment Outlooks

In the INVESTMENT OUTLOOKS, we describe in copious details our macro views, explaining the number crunching and data analysis on which such views are based. OUTLOOKS are written every 2/3 months, if relevant. Further extrapolation of the market analysis in the OUTLOOKS is provided by means of our INVESTORS PRESENTATIONS, which are available upon request.

Cookies

COOKIES and CHARTBOOKS are our more frequent notes: these are short communications aimed at connecting day-to-day market events/catalysts to the macro views framed in the OUTLOOKS, in either confirmation or invalidation of what was there presented. If you want to be included in these constant e-mail notes please do get in touch.

Scenarios

The aim of this series of notes is to depict a specific disruptive scenario on a medium- to long-term horizon, and analyze the shape and tempo of its economic and financial implications. The scenario narrated is one of deep market discontinuity, although its probability is anything but remote. Instead, oftentimes, it is one sitting alongside trend-line, when linearly  interpolating from recent events into the future.

INVESTMENT OUTLOOKS​

Archive

25th Jul 2017 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
3rd May 2017 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
17th Jan 2017 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
21st Nov 2016 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
3rd May 2016 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
18th Jan 2016 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
26th Oct 2015 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
7th Jul 2015 - Fasanara Capital | CONFERENCE CALL
1st Jun 2015 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
10th Mar 2015 - Fasanara Capital | CONFERENCE CALL
1st Feb 2015 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
1st Dec - 2014 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
1st Sept 2014 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
9th Jun 2014 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
1st Apr 2014 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
10th Feb 2014 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
4th Nov 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
7th Oct 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
19th Sep 2013 -Fasanara Capital | INVESTOR PRESENTATION
3rd Sep 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
28th Jun 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
31st May 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
3rd May 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
5th Apr 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
1st Mar 2013 - Portfolio Buckets: Value Book vs Hedging Book
1st Mar 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
1st Feb 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
11th Jan 2013 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
17th Dec 2012 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
16th Nov 2012 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
26th Oct 2012 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
5th Oct 2012 - Fasanara Capital | INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
14th Sep 2012 - Bi-WeeklyNote
27th Jul 2012 - Bi-WeeklyNote
13th Jul 2012 - Bi-WeeklyNote
More 2012 reports available upon request

COOKIES

Archive

06th Nov 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  How To Measure The Proximity To A Market Crash: Introducing System Resilience Indicators (‘SRI’)
25th Sep 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  Twin Bubbles: How Stretched?
08th Jun 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  The Increasing Frequency of VAR-shocks is a Crash Hallmark
11th Apr 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  While Markets Scramble For Direction, On The Edge Of The Cliff, Turkey Cracks
12th Feb 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  Markets Poised At Criticality
2nd Feb 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK |  The Market System Is Tight In All Directions
19th Jan 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  Measuring the Equity Bubble: an update of the ‘Peak PEG’ Ratio
11th Sep 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE |  Measuring the Bond Bubble: the ‘Real Rate to Growth’ Ratio
24th Aug 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | The S&P has never before been this expensive: the 'Peak PEG' ratio
20th Jul 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | How Bad a Damage If Volatility Rises: The Trap of Short Vol ETFs
3rd Jul 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | New Lows on Bond Volatility: Calm Before The Storm? - UPDATE
16th Jun 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK |  New Lows on Bond Volatility: Calm Before The Storm?
15th Jun 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK |  US Banks visibly disconnected from US Rates and US Curve
5th Jun 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK |   Things to Watch (12 charts)
24th May 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | How to play EU outperformance vs the US: equity, rates and currencies
4th May 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK |   Important levels to watch out, being tested / breached
12th Apr 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Equities to join rates and the us dollar in the anti-reflation trade? watch us earnings and US GDP for clues
7th Apr 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Trend to monitor: Italy's Target 2 deficit hit new high in March at Eur 420bn (peak during 2012 crisis was 290bn)
3rd Apr 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Post-Oil World Advancing Faster Than Markets Believe
13th Mar 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Oil: a weak present and no future
23rd Feb 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | The Positive Scenario of a Friendly Restructuring of the EUR Peg is in Reach
12th Dec 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Global Tapering On Track: Latest Data From Japan, Possibility For A Tweak/Restrike Of ‘Yield Curve Control’ Pledge
1st Dec 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Oil: today's upside sowing the seeds of tomorrow's new lows
24th Oct 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK | Things to Watch
2nd Aug 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL CHARTBOOK | Things to Watch
25th Aug 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | US Yield Curve Now Flat Between 12Months Libor And 10Yr Treasury: US Banks Do Not Flinch, Yet  
7th Jul 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Equities Sleepwalking Towards The Cliff Of EU Banks And CNH Deval
27th Jun 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | EU Reformed Or EUR Break-Up 
15th Jun 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | The Last Castle To Fall: The S&P
12th Apr 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Upcoming Catalysts For Risk-Off: US Earnings, OPEC Meeting
21st Mar 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Short European Banks Thesis
14th Mar 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Draghi Smartly Over-Delivering, Saving Banks, Now Eyes On Risk Of USD Strength
2nd Mar 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | High Expectations For ECB Next Week Potential For Disappointment  Especially On Banks
29th Feb 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | EURUSD Down, Equity Down On ECB Delivering Deeply Negative Interest Rates
22nd Feb 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Monitoring China Reserve Depletion: Next Key Release 23rd Feb
15th Feb 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Monitoring China Reserve Depletion: Next Key Releases On 18th Feb And 23rd Feb
10th Feb 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Deeply Negative Interest Rates, The Real New News
3rd Feb 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Monitoring China Reserve Depletion: Estimate For Jan Revised Up At $USD 197Bn, Data Out On 7th Feb
29th Jan 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Deeply Negative Interest Rates & Currency Wars
28th Jan 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Monitoring China Reserve Depletion: Estimate For Jan At $USD 185Bn, Released On 7th Feb
25th Jan 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | US Inflation Expectations Closing Gap To European's
21st Jan 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Thoughts Ahead Of ECB Press Conf
12th Jan 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Random And Violent Markets
23rd Dec 2015 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | What's Going On In Oil / Commodities
17th Dec 2015 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | What Are We Left With After Fed Hike?
8th Dec 2015 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Has The ECB Really Disappointed
27th Nov 2015 - FASANARA CAPITAL COOKIE | Preparing For The ECB Meeting

More  available upon request

SCENARIOS

Archive

9th Jul 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL SCENARIO |  Analysis of Market Structure: Towards A Low-Diversity Trap
10th Jan 2018 - FASANARA CAPITAL SCENARIO |  Fragile Markets On The ‘Edge Of Chaos’
20th Nov 2017 - FASANARA CAPITAL SCENARIO | Positive Feedback Loops and Financial Instability: The Blind Spot of Policymakers
7th Sep 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL SCENARIO | The last act begins for the EUR peg
7th Jun 2016 - FASANARA CAPITAL SCENARIO | The Market Economy in 2020: a visualization exercise
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E-BOOKS

Archive

26th Aug 2018 - COMPLEXITY LABS & FASANARA CAPITAL E-BOOK |   Financial Complexity & Nonlinear Dynamics
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